setrstop.blogg.se

• Craig kimbrel pitching repertoire full#

Last season was Adbert Alzolay’s first full season at the major league level and he looked pretty sharp. The 26-year-old is projected to begin the season at the club’s Triple-A affiliate and should only see time in the big leagues this upcoming season if more players are traded, or if injuries arise.Ģ021 stats: 5-13, 21 GS, 4.58 ERA, 4.65 FIP, 1.0 fWARĢ022 FGDC projections: 6-6, 23 GS, 4.54 ERA, 4.45 FIP, 1.0 fWAR He is very much a strikeout-oriented pitcher. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Images) / The pitchers (19):Ģ021 stats: 0-0, 7 G (1 GS), 6.75 ERA, 8.94 FIP, -0.5 fWARĢ022 FGDC projections: 1-1, 11 G (3 GS), 5.15 ERA, 5.20 FIP, 0.1 fWARĬory Abbott made his major league debut last season for the Cubs after a very solid minor league career. Jax should shrink his pitch mix to throw more four-seamers and sweepers, as they are, by far, his most effective offerings.PHILADELPHIA, PA – SEPTEMBER 15: Adbert Alzolay #73 of the Chicago Cubs throws a pitch during a game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Septemin Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Having a two-pitch mix is very common for relievers, and Jax should not be discouraged from heading down this path. The Diazes, Sewald, and Abreu specifically utilize the four-seam/slider combo with very good returns. Elite relievers like Alexis Diaz (and his brother Edwin), Paul Sewald, Clay Homes, Josh Hader, Craig Kimbrel, Emmanuel Clase, Bryan Abreu, Jose Alvarado, and many others utilize two-pitch mixes relying on a fastball and a breaking ball.

If Jax were to cut out two or three of these pitches, I think he would be much more effective. In my mind, an ERA below 2.50 is good enough to be a set-it-and-forget-it closer, and I think the dominant-end-of-game-arm-Griffin Jax is much closer than many of his naysayers realize. The run value stat estimates that Griffin Jax has given up three more runs than average due to his tertiary pitches, which would lower his ERA from 2.96 to 2.40 if he had not given up the three runs. The average hitter against that pitch is basically post-call-up Eddy Julien, and it hurts Jax's ability to be effective. For reference, Jordan Hicks creates more total movement on his sinker (in both the vertical and horizontal directions), despite it being an average of 4 mph faster. His 2-seamer is particularly atrocious it only offers 18.2 inches of drop and 14.1 inches of run. His run value is negative on all three pitches, and his RV/100 is below two on both his changeup and 2-seamer. He uses his changeup, 2-seamer, and cutter a total of 20.1% of the time. He is not using a changeup 6% of the time to set up his sweeper, nor is his cutter (4%) a setup for his four-seamer.

It's hard to make the case that a pitcher relies on a 5-pitch mix to keep hitters off balance when he's using his primary pitch almost 60% of the time. Jax's tertiary pitches are where he loses some of his zeal. A high-velocity four-seamer is generally effective secondary, and although the pitch is still a work in progress ('23 has been his first year with a positive run value on that pitch), it greatly aids his effectiveness. He locates it well, especially glove-side (in on LHB), which makes it an effective weapon against lefties and a good set-up pitch against righties. Most of its effectiveness centers around velocity (~96mph), as it doesn't have elite spin rate. Jax's four-seam fastball, while not as lauded as his sweeper, has been very effective since his move to the bullpen. In '22, his sweeper had a run value of seven (1.3 RV/100), and he's already up to a run value of eight in '23 (1.9 RV/100). He's thrown his sweeper more times than any other pitch, and it's been extremely effective. When Griffin Jax debuted late in the 2021 season, most analysts and fans lauded the nastiness of his slider (now called a sweeper) and its ability to carry his arsenal. While he's been a very good setup man, I believe that some adjustments to his repertoire can turn him from "good 7th/8th inning arm" to "dominant 8th/9th inning arm." Sure, he's had some rough patches, but so has Duran (as well as any human being who has thrown more than a full season of major league baseball). His leverage index is quite high (1.67), and he has dealt with jams really well (7.5 base-out runs saved). His ERA (as of 08/14) is below 3.00, and he's helped the Twins win more than he has not (0.5 WPA). He's in the 94th percentile in a number of important statcast stats like xwOBA, 圎RA, and xSLG.